Protecting high-value watersheds under growth pressure

Analyzing watershed conditions to guide future protections for sensitive areas within the Shingle Creek and St. Johns River basins.

at a glance

CLIENT

Orange County Environmental Protection Division

LOCATION

Orange County, Florida

SYSTEM

Watersheds, wetlands, and floodplains

FOCUS

Resource assessment, land-use strategy, policy support

PROJECT TYPE

Environmental study and planning

at a glance

client

Orange County Environmental Protection Division

location

Orange County, Florida

system

Watersheds, wetlands, and floodplains

focus

Resource assessment, land-use strategy, policy support

project type

Environmental study and planning

The Challenge

What was at stake

Rapid growth in Central Florida continues to place pressure on watersheds that support water quality, flood protection, habitat, and downstream ecosystems.

Building on the countywide State of the Wetlands assessment, Orange County identified portions of the Shingle Creek Basin — headwaters of the Everglades system — and the St. Johns River Basin for closer evaluation. These regions contain extensive wetlands, floodplains, and natural habitats that play a critical role in regional hydrology and biodiversity.

County leaders needed to determine whether existing regulations provided sufficient protection or whether additional measures were necessary to preserve long-term watershed function. Those decisions would influence land-use policy, infrastructure planning, and environmental conditions for decades.

our approach

How we advanced the work

Drummond Carpenter analyzed ecological and hydrologic conditions across both basins to pinpoint vulnerabilities and identify opportunities for protection, including:

  • Mapping wetlands, water resources, and habitat systems
  • Evaluating resource distribution, condition, and scarcity
  • Analyzing floodplain inundation patterns
  • Tracking impervious surface expansion
  • Assessing water quality impairments
  • Evaluating future land-use scenarios and climate influences

The study traced how these natural systems have changed over time and evaluated how they may respond to continued development pressure.

Together, these analyses gave Orange County a clearer technical basis for identifying where existing protections may fall short and where more targeted approaches should be considered.

Project study Areas
0 X

Runoff increase since 1985 (Shingle Creek)

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Vulnerable species (Shingle Creek)

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Wildlife corridor area (St. Johns River)

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Acres unmapped floodplains (St. Johns River)

our methodology

Translating analysis into planning strategy

Drummond Carpenter worked across multiple County divisions to translate the basin analysis into strategies that balance environmental protection with responsible growth.

Potential approaches evaluated included:

  • Enhanced stormwater management requirements
  • Low-impact development practices
  • Expanded open space policies
  • Targeted regulatory provisions for sensitive areas

This animation shows model results of the flood response at Shingle Creek wetlands following major storms.

The Outcome

What changed

  • Identified areas requiring protection beyond existing regulations
  • Established a technical basis for basin-specific planning decisions
  • Informed development of new policy approaches
  • Connected environmental analysis with land-use considerations
  • Strengthened coordination across County departments
  • Positioned the County for long-term watershed stewardship

The work informed preparation of new ordinances for consideration by the Board of County Commissioners.

Looking ahead

Why it matters

Watersheds operate at scales that transcend individual projects or jurisdictions. Decisions made upstream can influence water quality, flooding and ecosystem health far downstream. This project shows how detailed environmental analysis can give local governments a stronger basis for decisions that will shape landscapes and water systems for generations.

By evaluating sensitive basins in detail, Drummond Carpenter helped Orange County move toward targeted protections that address real risks while allowing for responsible development.

related solutions

Where this work connects